Elbridge Colby & the GOP Foreign Policy Shake Up, Trump's Israel Bear Hug?, Mahmoud Khalil's Detainment, & the Syria Information War Shell Game w/ Matthew Petti

On this edition of Parallax Views, Matthew Petti, an assistant editor at Reason magazine whose beat is national security issues, returns to the program to discuss his recent articles "Bipartisan war hawks go after Trump defense pick Elbridge Colby", "Is Trump borrowing Biden’s ‘bear hug’ approach to Israel?", and "Who is the Palestinian Columbia student detained for his protest activity?". We'll also discuss the situation in Syria, specifically the uprising and massacre of Alawite civilians in the past week. In regards to Syria, we'll dissect the information war shell game that's currently taking place and how various actors including Israel, Russia, Iran, Turkey, and the Arab Gulf States are all pushing certain narratives in relation to Syria's transitional government led by
Ahmed al-Sharaa (formerly Abu Mohammad al-Julani).

In the first portion of our conversation, we look at the confirmation hearing of Elbridge Colby, who has been nominated by President Donald Trump to be his Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. Although Colby belongs to the world of defense intellectuals and is not a dove by any stretch, some of his views have a pro-restraint bent that have come under fire from both Republicans and Democrats. Republican Senator Tom Cotton, in particular, appears to take issue with Colby, specifically Colby's views on the Middle East (Colby wants to wind down U.S. involvement in the region), and is alleged by a number of Trump allies to have been behind a recent whisper campaign against Colby.

We'll examine the realist camp of figures who have been given positions within the Trump administration thus far and JD Vance and Marco Rubio's allusions to realist foreign policy views since Trump's election. We'll also discuss how the other side of the coin when it comes to this embrace of realism by elements of the Trump administration and MAGA. Namely, the increasing talk of consolidating U.S. power in its geographic sphere of influence (ie: all the talk of making Canada the "51st State"). Petti will also go over Colby's hawkish views on China, specifically in relation to Taiwan, and how his views have changed over the years.

In the latter portion of the conversation, we'll discuss Petti's notion that Trump's may well be employing the "bear hug" strategy with Israel that many claimed Biden was using during his administration in light of the Gaza War. Petti makes the case that Biden did not actually apply the bear hug strategy, but that Trump may actually be using it. On one hand, Trump is frequently proclaiming his pro-Israel credentials for domestic consumption (ie: the targeting of Gaza protesters as "pro-Hamas" sympathizer or illegal "agitators"; saying he completely wants to eradicate Hamas). On the other hand, the Trump administration just held secretive talks with Hamas that were brought ot the public by Axios journalist Barak Ravid. Ravid, who has many sources within the Israeli national security state, broke the news and it seems reasonably to say Israeli security sources wanted the story to come out even if Trump didn't want that to happen. What are the implications of this? We'll delve into that in-depth.

Afterwards we will turn our attention to detainment of Mahmoud Khalil, a lead negotiator for pro-Palestinian protest camp at Columbia University. The detainment has garnered massive media attention with Khalil currently being held at an ICE detainment center. Turns out Khalil is not in the U.S. on a student visa. He has a green card. Although the Department of Homeland Security argues that Khalil's " activities aligned to Hamas, a designated terrorist organization" he has not been charged with a crime and is a permanent legal resident of the U.S. The case is likely to raise a lot of debate about what constitutes support for a terrorist organization, specifically what constitutes material support and where the lines between 1st amendment rights and said support are drawn.

All that and more on this edition of Parallax Views!